Iran’s “mad mullahs” want nuclear weapons to destroy Israel and can only be stopped by the threat or use of military force. That’s what the Bush administration would have the public believe, as it pushes toward a confrontation with Iran over that country’s nuclear program. A key link in the argument is that Tehran has shown no interest in negotiating over the nuclear issue. As State Department spokesman Sean McCormack told reporters last January, the administration didn’t then see “anything that indicates the Iranians are willing to engage in a serious diplomatic process” on the nuclear issue.So far as I can tell, there are three distinct possibilities here:
In the woeful history of falsehoods about the targets of potential U.S. force, however, this one is particularly egregious. In the spring of 2003, the Islamic Republic of Iran not only proposed to negotiate with the Bush administration on its nuclear program and its support for terrorists but also offered concrete concessions that went very far toward meeting U.S. concerns.
The story of that Iranian negotiating proposal and the U.S. failure to respond, which has never been covered by major U.S. media, reveals the underlying pragmatism driving Iranian policy toward an agreement with the United States. It also reveals a fierce struggle between realists who wanted to engage Iran diplomatically and the inner circle of advisers who were determined to avoid it. The stubborn rejection by President Bush and his neoconservative advisers of normal diplomatic practice in their dealings with Iran, detailed for the first time here, raises grave questions about the Bush administration’s real motives as it maneuvers through the present crisis over Iran’s nuclear program.
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The proposal, a copy of which is in the author’s possession, offered a dramatic set of specific policy concessions Tehran was prepared to make in the framework of an overall bargain on its nuclear program, its policy toward Israel, and al-Qaeda. It also proposed the establishment of three parallel working groups to negotiate “road maps” on the three main areas of contention -- weapons of mass destruction, “terrorism and regional security,” and “economic cooperation.”
The document was sent to Washington just in time for a meeting between Iran’s U.N. Ambassador Javad Zarif and Khalilzad in Geneva on May 2, 2003. One copy arrived at the State Department by fax, and a second copy was taken to State in person by an American intermediary, according to a source who has discussed the letter with the intermediary.
The proposal offered “decisive action against any terrorists (above all, al-Qaeda) in Iranian territory” and “full cooperation and exchange of all relevant information.” It also indicated, however, that Iran wanted from the United States the “pursuit of anti-Iranian terrorists, above all MKO” -- the Iranian acronym for the Mujihedeen e Khalq (MEK), which had fought alongside Iraqi troops in the war against Iran and was on the U.S. list of terrorist organizations -- “and support for repatriation of their members in Iraq” as well as actions against the organization in the United States.
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The document also offered a “stop of any material support to Palestinian opposition groups (Hamas, Jihad, etc.) from Iranian territory” and “pressure on these organizations to stop violent actions against civilians within borders of 1967.” Finally it proposed “action on Hizbollah to become a mere political organization within Lebanon.” That package of proposals was a clear bid for removal of Iran from the list of state sponsors of terrorism.
1. The offer is a hoax by some third party. Who would engineer such a thing and for what purpose, I have no idea.
2. The offer is a ploy by the Iranian government. Now, when Tehran is facing increasing international pressure about their nuclear program and terrorist connections, they can use this previously unknown olive branch as a prpganda tool, saying 'You see, we tried to give the West what it wants, but they wouldn't listen.' Of course, this offer is still technically a secret, and I haven't seen any Iranian officials acknowledge this proposal as true.
3. The offer is genuine and the Bush administration rejected it. It is true that peace with Israel and abandonment of the nuclear program sounds more Khatami than Achmedinejad, but people forget: Achmedinejad has no power. So it would have to be Khamenei who's behind this! Sounds impossible, but who knows.
What motivation does Bush have for dismissing this offer out of hand? It's pretty easy to enforce - the worst that could happen (from the US point of view) is that Iran would violate the agreements and we'd be just where we are now. It makes me think that somebody - or many somebodies - in the American administration is angling to go to war.
6 comments:
Um... OK?
Loyal - Your capacity for believing conspiracy theories is disappointing to say the least. To give credence to any offer coming a country like Iran while doubting the motives of our own is something not even the most rabid Democrat in Congress would do. You're pretty far gone by now.
Even with the (very) minute possibility that this "offer" bore any semblance of sincerity, the U.S. would be wrong to fall into the trap of negotiations with a rogue state. It should not matter whether Ahmadinejad or Khamenei is pulling the strings.
Furthermore, there is a very large distinction between refusing to negotiate and "angling to go to war". Right now, the U.S. is following the path of isolation, sanctions, and increased pressure. War is (and should be) a last resort.
Bruce - Salaam. Shalom. Peace. Now take a nap - it seems like you need it.
"Loyal - Your capacity for believing conspiracy theories is disappointing to say the least. To give credence to any offer coming a country like Iran while doubting the motives of our own is something not even the most rabid Democrat in Congress would do. You're pretty far gone by now."
First of all, the Bush Administration is not our country.
Second of all, how much 'credence' did I give it? I listed the 'credible offer' scenario as one of three possibilities. It just so happens to be the one which opens up the most opportunity for speculation about the U.S. government's intentions.
One doesn't have to be a nut to think that this administration is trigger-happy and unwilling to follow through on diplomacy as an alternative to military action.
"Even with the (very) minute possibility that this "offer" bore any semblance of sincerity, the U.S. would be wrong to fall into the trap of negotiations with a rogue state. It should not matter whether Ahmadinejad or Khamenei is pulling the strings."
Then, short of a military strike, what do you suggest? Sanctions are ostensibly seeking the changes this offer includes. If our stated policy towards the Iranian government is to make it collapse, they have no reason to moderate their own policies to please us.
"Second of all, how much 'credence' did I give it? I listed the 'credible offer' scenario as one of three possibilities. It just so happens to be the one which opens up the most opportunity for speculation about the U.S. government's intentions."
It seems like you answered your own question there. The "credible offer" scenario gives you an opportunity to question the government's motives, so you give it credence, regardless of how unlikely it may be.
"One doesn't have to be a nut to think that this administration is trigger-happy and unwilling to follow through on diplomacy as an alternative to military action."
There are other forms of diplomacy than negotiation with a rogue state, especially when it is on their terms. Stating that the United States and its allies will set the terms for negotiation is very different from calling a military strike.
"Then, short of a military strike, what do you suggest? Sanctions are ostensibly seeking the changes this offer includes. If our stated policy towards the Iranian government is to make it collapse, they have no reason to moderate their own policies to please us."
American policy toward Iran should be one of isolation and diplomatic pressure (with the combined effort of European allies). The goal is not to make Iran moderate its policies because it wants to, but because it has no other choice. So, the actions Iran will take should not be on their terms, but ours. When dealing with madmen, any other method is dangerous appeasement.
But this argument is all hypothetical - based on a belief that this offer from Tehran is somehow legitimate. There's absolutely NO proof that's the case.
That's some dynamite political satire there. You really captured Kerry's anti-war pro-Palestinian voice.
"It makes me think that somebody - or many somebodies - in the American administration is angling to go to war."
L.A., would that be wrong considering the Iranian leadership's stated committment to the destruction of Israel?
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